Sunday, March 16, 2025 1:44:56 PM
FWIW. Some calculations and RS thoughts
(Calculations use numbers just reported, 411M shares outstanding, and 1:20 RS effective April 11th):
Cash: $294.2M =  $0.716/shr.  $14.32
Value of Tax Loss Carryforwards:Accrued loss 1,668,546,000 at a 20% tax rate= $333.7M.  $0.812/shr.  $16.24
Revenue Runrate;4Q24 $62.3M  Annualized $249.2MAt 1x rev.  $0.61/shr.   $12.13(Note, acquisitions use a multiple of PEAK revenues, typically 3x)
Given the above, with the stock at $0.41 or $8.20, it is significantly undervalued. 
An acquirer would also take into consideration the new LR-EtEPA formulation. No way to quantify the value without knowledge of FDA trial requirements, patent length...
Another consideration is the value to the acquirer's drug portfolio. This is where I concur with SanDiegoLiving on Stocktwits, Vascepa is a perfect fit for Novo, given Entresto off patent 7/15/2025, and combo therapy potential with both their PCSK-9 (Inclisiran) and their GLP-1 offerings. It will be very interesting to see the data on their in vitro GLP-1/Vascepa combo. 
Given the stock price and delisting timeframe, a Reverse Split was inevitable. I think there were 2 main reasons for 1:20. First, it shrinks the float to roughly 20M, making an all stock acquisition much more palatable for the acquirer. More importantly, it puts the post split price firmly above $5. Many mutual fund bylaws have minimum price guidelines at $5. As a penny stock, AMRN is not on institutional radar, it doesn't meet the criteria in their stock screening algorithms. That will change post split. 
Most RS occur shortly after announcement. So why is ours taking nearly a month? Is it to provide time for the news to permeate through the institutional investor community, and provide time to do their homework and be ready on April 11, 2025 ??
(Calculations use numbers just reported, 411M shares outstanding, and 1:20 RS effective April 11th):
Cash: $294.2M =  $0.716/shr.  $14.32
Value of Tax Loss Carryforwards:Accrued loss 1,668,546,000 at a 20% tax rate= $333.7M.  $0.812/shr.  $16.24
Revenue Runrate;4Q24 $62.3M  Annualized $249.2MAt 1x rev.  $0.61/shr.   $12.13(Note, acquisitions use a multiple of PEAK revenues, typically 3x)
Given the above, with the stock at $0.41 or $8.20, it is significantly undervalued. 
An acquirer would also take into consideration the new LR-EtEPA formulation. No way to quantify the value without knowledge of FDA trial requirements, patent length...
Another consideration is the value to the acquirer's drug portfolio. This is where I concur with SanDiegoLiving on Stocktwits, Vascepa is a perfect fit for Novo, given Entresto off patent 7/15/2025, and combo therapy potential with both their PCSK-9 (Inclisiran) and their GLP-1 offerings. It will be very interesting to see the data on their in vitro GLP-1/Vascepa combo. 
Given the stock price and delisting timeframe, a Reverse Split was inevitable. I think there were 2 main reasons for 1:20. First, it shrinks the float to roughly 20M, making an all stock acquisition much more palatable for the acquirer. More importantly, it puts the post split price firmly above $5. Many mutual fund bylaws have minimum price guidelines at $5. As a penny stock, AMRN is not on institutional radar, it doesn't meet the criteria in their stock screening algorithms. That will change post split. 
Most RS occur shortly after announcement. So why is ours taking nearly a month? Is it to provide time for the news to permeate through the institutional investor community, and provide time to do their homework and be ready on April 11, 2025 ??
Recent AMRN News
- Amarin to Report First Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Host Conference Call on April 29, 2026 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/15/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Form ARS - Annual Report to Security Holders • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/10/2026 09:01:34 PM
- Form DEF 14A - Other definitive proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/10/2026 09:00:20 PM
- American College of Cardiology (ACC) Scientific Sessions 2026 Underscore the Need for Complementary Therapies Including Icosapent Ethyl (IPE) in Treatment of Elevated Triglycerides and Cardiovascular Risk Reduction • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/08/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/02/2026 08:30:11 PM
- Form PRE 14A - Other preliminary proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/30/2026 09:57:06 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/27/2026 09:00:07 PM
- Amarin Highlights Guideline Recommended Role of Icosapent Ethyl in Managing Cardiovascular Risk Following Release of Updated 2026 ACC/AHA/Multisociety Dyslipidemia Guideline • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/18/2026 12:30:00 PM
- New REDUCE-IT Data in Patients at Extreme Cardiovascular Risk and In Vitro Research on the Mechanistic Effects of Eicosapentaenoic Acid (EPA) on Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] Oxidation to be Presented at the American College of Cardiology’s (ACC) Annual Scienti • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/16/2026 12:15:00 PM
- Form 10-K - Annual report [Section 13 and 15(d), not S-K Item 405] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/02/2026 10:31:01 PM
- Effects of Icosapent Ethyl on Risk and Duration of Hospitalizations and Death in REDUCE-IT® Post Hoc Analysis Published in the European Journal of Preventive Cardiology • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/02/2026 01:00:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/25/2026 12:05:26 PM
- Amarin Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/25/2026 12:00:00 PM
- This American Heart Month Amarin Spotlights the Need to Prioritize Proven Widely Available Yet Underutilized Therapies in the Battle Against Cardiovascular Disease • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/23/2026 01:00:00 PM
- Amarin to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Host Conference Call on February 25, 2026 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/11/2026 01:00:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/04/2026 12:00:09 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/04/2026 12:00:07 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/04/2026 12:00:06 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/04/2026 12:00:05 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/04/2026 12:00:04 AM
- Amarin Applauds Breakthroughs In Therapies For Patients With Elevated Triglycerides; Company’s VASCEPA®/VAZKEPA® (Icosapent Ethyl) Franchise Well Positioned To Benefit Globally From Broadened Category Commercialization • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/09/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/08/2026 12:05:27 PM
- Amarin Announces Preliminary 2025 Financial Highlights and Operational Accomplishments, Including Achieving Positive Cash Flow; Company Well Positioned to Capture Global Growth Opportunities • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 01/08/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/06/2026 10:00:21 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/06/2026 10:00:17 PM
