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Re: santafe2 post# 28291

Thursday, 07/06/2023 4:32:59 PM

Thursday, July 06, 2023 4:32:59 PM

Post# of 29349
In the first ten minutes, the speaker used hypothetical examples of binary changes, IE we pretend that we can actually flip switches to go 100% EVs. I admit I don't have patience for such theoretical constructs. We have facts on the ground . What is the LCOS of solar and wind, vs fossil fuels? The energy costs gradient are so strong that 100% for passenger cars adoption is guaranteed, The only question is timing of the economics of the remaining infrastructure to deliver the adoption. We need more TED talks on that. A few years go, I offered my guess of ~11 years to get to >80% EV market share if recollection serves. IMO what may have looked crazy is looking reasonable. The lowest cost coal is produced in Australia so pls go see how competitive coal is currently there. I haven't visited EIA and IEA latest's forecasts in months. I am sure a 3 year old TED talk on energy trends and usage could use updating.

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