Wednesday, April 12, 2023 2:58:52 PM
Thank you Lykiri for the information you provided which yields much food for thought.
Interesting that out of 99 placebos, 30-31 were alive at 32.9 months from randomization and 20 of them were MGMT methylated placebos. That would mean that almost 50% of those 41 methylated GBM patients in the group of 99 placebos were post 32.9 months survivors and my uneducated guess is that well over 50% of the methylated crossover patients are in that long living group.
You also pointed out that most of the 18 placebos whose progression was never confirmed were censored after 12 months. I am also wondering how many of those censored placebos, not only survived past 32.9 months but may have survived past 5 years? The 2018 SNO statisticians predicted that 50 patients were going to survive at least 58.4 months from surgery (55.3 months from randomization) which suggests to me that perhaps at least 45 would have survived 60 months from randomization. As I understand it, there were 25 post 5 year treatment patients with beating hearts although
the 13% post 5 year survival figure implicated 30 such patients. However, both of those survival stats would likely still fall far short of the 2018 SNO estimated long term survival figures.
Question: When all the crossover survival figures are revealed, will a few more 5 year survivors ascend from the 18 censored (unconfirmed progression) cases?
Interesting that out of 99 placebos, 30-31 were alive at 32.9 months from randomization and 20 of them were MGMT methylated placebos. That would mean that almost 50% of those 41 methylated GBM patients in the group of 99 placebos were post 32.9 months survivors and my uneducated guess is that well over 50% of the methylated crossover patients are in that long living group.
You also pointed out that most of the 18 placebos whose progression was never confirmed were censored after 12 months. I am also wondering how many of those censored placebos, not only survived past 32.9 months but may have survived past 5 years? The 2018 SNO statisticians predicted that 50 patients were going to survive at least 58.4 months from surgery (55.3 months from randomization) which suggests to me that perhaps at least 45 would have survived 60 months from randomization. As I understand it, there were 25 post 5 year treatment patients with beating hearts although
the 13% post 5 year survival figure implicated 30 such patients. However, both of those survival stats would likely still fall far short of the 2018 SNO estimated long term survival figures.
Question: When all the crossover survival figures are revealed, will a few more 5 year survivors ascend from the 18 censored (unconfirmed progression) cases?
Bullish
Recent NWBO News
- Northwest Biotherapeutics Announces Establishment Of the Company's Own Dedicated Leukapheresis Clinic • PR Newswire (US) • 04/21/2026 01:30:00 PM
- Northwest Biotherapeutics Announces Establishment Of the Company's Own Dedicated Leukapheresis Clinic • PR Newswire (US) • 04/21/2026 01:30:00 PM
- Form EFFECT - Notice of Effectiveness • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/21/2026 04:15:08 AM
- Form POS AM - Post-Effective amendments for registration statement • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/16/2026 09:25:30 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/07/2026 04:30:50 PM
- Form NT 10-K - Notification of inability to timely file Form 10-K 405, 10-K, 10-KSB 405, 10-KSB, 10-KT, or 10-KT405 • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/31/2026 09:04:37 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/15/2026 10:06:20 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/02/2026 10:14:59 PM
- Form DEF 14A - Other definitive proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/28/2025 09:43:27 PM
- Form 424B5 - Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(5)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/25/2025 10:23:07 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/20/2025 09:26:03 PM
- Form PRE 14A - Other preliminary proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/19/2025 09:15:48 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/14/2025 09:44:21 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/31/2025 04:29:10 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/30/2025 08:40:05 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/24/2025 04:28:38 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/14/2025 06:22:26 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/14/2025 09:00:38 PM
- Form 424B5 - Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(5)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 07/01/2025 09:04:38 PM
