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Re: jbog post# 26848

Monday, 11/07/2022 6:57:12 PM

Monday, November 07, 2022 6:57:12 PM

Post# of 30495

Your original statement was using CAT as a bellwether dealing in recessionary times.

Actually, my contention was that CAT is a bellwether for ascertaining whether a recession is coming—and, by implication, a bellwether for how severe such a recession might be.

I appreciate your responses in this thread, but I don’t think you’ve made your case that CAT should not be an important data point for those making economic forecasts.

“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”

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