NorthWest Biotherapeutics Inc (NWBO)

[kabunushi]

Longs stayed strong thru much of 2021 so the stock was weathering a biotech sector-wide crash, especially in small to microcaps. But as we saw, eventually longs holding firm was not enough for us to escape the sector crash in the end. Going forward the markets seem iffy - rising interest rates are bad for stocks! And just as we saw in 2021 with NWBO vs. Biotech sector index funds, we won't escape a market-wide downturn in 2022 if that happens. In view of that as well as everything specific to NWBO, I think most guesses here have been wildly overoptimistic. Nobody will be happier than I if I'm wrong about that!!!

There is massive turmoil in the economy and the labor markets in the US. Covid's actual effects and readjustment to 2 years of it is a big factor and we already know that we have no idea what is coming next in that sphere. 2022 is an election year and that could get more crazy than usual. The moves of the fed are in question and inflation plus strong fed moves have the potential to derail the whole stock market.

Actual progress with dcvax-l and all related variables is unpredictable. Chances of a buyout in 2022 are low to nil as far as I can see.

With all those unknowns it's almost pure foolishness to even try to guess but I'm pretty sure the majority are out of their minds over-optimistic. My best WAG is somewhere between $4-$8. A buyout would likely bring only $6-$9 (hence very unlikely to get done).

JMHO