I don’t mean to minimize what is going on with the “mass” increase in volume over the last several weeks. Clearly we are seeing institutional accumulation and that is coming with a controlled sense of urgency.
I track the borrowing rate charged by Schwab to investors who wish to short the stock. This rate has settled down to around a still high 20% after peaking just over 55% when White Diamond and others were shorting the stock at around $11 per share. We tried to warn them, but they had to learn the hard way. The short interest reported every two weeks has been fairly stable so I do not think the move from $12 to $20 was a short squeeze. I think Dr. Lebby and the BOD have enormous credibility and that has convinced several money managers to buy significant positions.
Contrary to popular opinion on this message board, I believe individual investors are supplying the shares that are being gobbled up by institutions. Overall, the shares are in strong hands, but so many individuals have made 15x and it is hard not to chip away. As a pure guess, I would say 15% is now owned by institutions, up from 1.4% on 9/30/21.
I also believe we are within one month of some sort of commercial news. If I am wrong about that, then the stock will likely come under some selling pressure.
HG Genuine produces over 500,000 transceivers per week and many of them have four modulators in them. At a low price of $1.00 per gig/sec, one customer could generate $2.5 Billion in annual revenue. As Marcelli stated, “when this thing starts to go, it is going to go fast!”
