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Re: OldAIMGuy post# 45549

Monday, 10/18/2021 9:30:02 AM

Monday, October 18, 2021 9:30:02 AM

Post# of 48301
Thank you Mr. Tom for detailed explanation.

It will be really helpful to design my plan of action. Presently, in EMs market volatility is very high and AIM may do wonder. However, if I'll see 2000 and 2008 crash, the Bluechip stocks also crashed up to 70-80% in indian market.

We are witnessing huge volatility in Individual stocks here in india which is clear indicator of huge speculative activity is under way. I believe this phenomenon is there in most of EMs and developed market as well.

The other fundamental/ statistical indicators which i used (combination of 3 indicators P/E, 12 month high/ low and small cap to large cap ratio) to understand the mood of the market, all indicators are showing there is clear bubble in the market. How long this bubble will go is practically not possible to predict. Further, US is mother of all market hence Vwave will definitely good tool to understand the mood of the market.

Hence keeping in mind all above aspect, I am planning to start my AIM account with 70% cash.

Thank you once again for sharing the knowledge and creating this platform.

Regards,

Vivek

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