Friday, September 17, 2021 9:33:56 AM
People don't buy Apple, Tesla, Coca-Cola, etc because they made money today, they buy them because they expect them to make money tomorrow. Past earnings help provide guidance and create expectations, but future potential weighs heavily into pricing of a stock. If a company with 100 shares makes $0 today but will make $100M tomorrow, what price are you willing to pay today? Surely it's more than $0. Even though today they make $0, tomorrow is a different matter entirely.
Ironically, in your post questioning the sanity of the price, you highlight how easy the math works out to justify an astronomical price expectation. With only 107M shares and the high margin nature of the product, it won't be hard to make a huge move in price. The goo is positioned nicely in $60B+ of industries. If they are able to capture just 10% of the market, that's $6B in revenue. Assume a conservative (for what we are producing) 30% margin, that's $1.8B in profit, or ~$17/share. At a non-growth P/E of 20, that's $340/share. Toss in that 10% market share is very low and a 20 P/E on an obvious growth company is exceedingly low, and the numbers get even higher. If they capture a miniscule 1% of the market, it justifies $34/share today. Those are at low market share, low margin, and low P/E. Use numbers more in line with the rest of the market for what we are, and it only goes up.
LWLG's position is incredibly strong due to the low share count, the tech offering exactly what it's customer's need (much higher speeds at much lower energy requirements), and the tech being that much better than the competition. Throw on top of that the fact that the bleeding edge testing equipment isn't even able to measure the top end speed of the tech, and we have ourselves not only a fistful of money in the near term, but staying power to push for next generation(s) of product speeds.
Ironically, in your post questioning the sanity of the price, you highlight how easy the math works out to justify an astronomical price expectation. With only 107M shares and the high margin nature of the product, it won't be hard to make a huge move in price. The goo is positioned nicely in $60B+ of industries. If they are able to capture just 10% of the market, that's $6B in revenue. Assume a conservative (for what we are producing) 30% margin, that's $1.8B in profit, or ~$17/share. At a non-growth P/E of 20, that's $340/share. Toss in that 10% market share is very low and a 20 P/E on an obvious growth company is exceedingly low, and the numbers get even higher. If they capture a miniscule 1% of the market, it justifies $34/share today. Those are at low market share, low margin, and low P/E. Use numbers more in line with the rest of the market for what we are, and it only goes up.
LWLG's position is incredibly strong due to the low share count, the tech offering exactly what it's customer's need (much higher speeds at much lower energy requirements), and the tech being that much better than the competition. Throw on top of that the fact that the bleeding edge testing equipment isn't even able to measure the top end speed of the tech, and we have ourselves not only a fistful of money in the near term, but staying power to push for next generation(s) of product speeds.
Recent LWLG News
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/27/2026 08:01:14 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/15/2026 08:15:54 PM
- Lightwave Logic Shares Slip Despite Revenue Growth and Expanded Market Opportunity (LWLG) • IH Market News • 05/14/2026 12:39:41 PM
- Form S-3ASR - Automatic shelf registration statement of securities of well-known seasoned issuers • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/08/2026 09:10:21 PM
- Lightwave Logic Announces Availability of Version 1.1 of Its Polymer Photonics PDK, Advancing Process Integration and Foundry Transfer • ACCESS Newswire • 05/07/2026 01:30:00 PM
- Lightwave Logic, Inc. Announces Timing of First Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Business Update Call • ACCESS Newswire • 05/05/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/30/2026 01:28:01 AM
- Lightwave Logic (LWLG) intellectual property advisory engagement supports licensing model expansion • IH Market News • 04/29/2026 02:28:14 PM
- Lightwave Logic Engages Michael Best as Strategic Intellectual Property Advisor • ACCESS Newswire • 04/29/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/21/2026 12:02:14 PM
- Form 424B5 - Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(5)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/21/2026 12:00:10 PM
- Lightwave Logic Announces Scheduling of Annual Shareholder Meeting • ACCESS Newswire • 04/14/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/10/2026 10:37:55 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/10/2026 09:22:42 PM
- Form ARS - Annual Report to Security Holders • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/10/2026 08:38:42 PM
- Form DEF 14A - Other definitive proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/10/2026 08:31:19 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/08/2026 11:50:53 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/07/2026 08:07:26 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/07/2026 07:42:29 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/06/2026 08:06:59 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/03/2026 01:47:09 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/02/2026 08:39:13 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/02/2026 08:14:40 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/01/2026 07:52:04 PM
- Form 144 - Report of proposed sale of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/01/2026 07:02:07 PM
