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Re: janice shell post# 166091

Friday, 01/31/2020 4:58:23 AM

Friday, January 31, 2020 4:58:23 AM

Post# of 234025
Benvenuto in Italia:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7950151/Officials-announce-two-case-deadly-illness-confirmed-Italy.html

and two new cases in the UK.

Nice test case to see how much the Wuhan/Hubei quarantine slows down the spread ex-China compared to models. Being a brutal totalitarian state, the PRC is able to enforce large quarantines by fiat and force. This is about the best test case for the efficacy of a quarantine in a 21st century modern (First World) environment.

Coronavirus 2019/N seems to be mostly an influenza-like infection in terms of transmissibility and severity. Butt with no vaccinated or pre-immune people (that we know of), so the epidemiology will be a great study of the efficacy of modern quarantines.

Also, studying the molecular evolution, or molecular phylogeny, of 2019/N as it evolves during its spread thru the human population over time and generation will also be fascinating.

http://www.antimicrobialcards.com/2011/10/hidden-poker-opponents-germs-colds-and.html

Research is fun!!!

https://www.nytimes.com/1987/11/24/science/tracking-the-common-cold-two-theories.html

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