to me the transportation index reflects just that transportation things and people will be moving in the economy Crude and finished products will be shipped and people will be travelling This means the economy will be active not mired in some deep morass of a nuclear winter. Plenty of challenging problems to work through, but my scenario actually is for the eventual coming of an inflationary boom. Then a Volcker type comes along to save the currency and cool things off This scenario of course fits with a commodity boom Rev up them jet engines put coal in that train gas up that truck