Anavex Life Sciences Corp (AVXL)

[anders2211]

I have any less conviction that AVXL has a 25% chance of approval
Anavex is no way guaranteed to have P3 success.
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If an investor wants guarantees he should invest in Norwegian bonds.
1. Anavex showed: its super responders on high dose beats SOC in AD for sure. without any serious competition zooming in. If Anavex can repeat that in the next AD trial by just doing almost the exact same it did with the 6 super responders they will be rewarded SOC. When? Probably mid-end 2019. MC after AD SCOC: 15 billion easy. Changes: 80 yes 20: no, not 25%.
2. Anavex WILL start Rett coming three months, read out before end sept 2018. Will it succeed? 50/50, not 25%. MC after Rett Succes: 1 billion

You are suggesting as if Anavex did not prove anything yet to anyone.
Everybody knows bio's take time. A SP of 3,5 for a x 200 SP rise in coming two years is a way better bet given the scientific proof it already delivered then anybody would have given bitcoin in 2008..

2018 could be a great year for anavex, 2019 will be a fanatstic year for anavex