fuagf -- yep; after last year's misfire, this year, now, it is here, having really come fully together within just the last couple of weeks (as currently displayed in the following animations):
here's hoping it turns out not too bad for all of you over there ("Meteorologists say the current El Nino has already served to quiet the South Asian monsoon season.") (. . .) -- as you've just entered your spring and enter your peak heat in three months, in phase with it
and that in return we, in particular California, actually do get at least some real good part of what we do actually need (after the rather long mostly La Nina pattern which of course so helped set that up in the first place) -- within not many more weeks now, should, would expect/hope to, see at least some initial pattern-consistent jet flow set-ups, bringing at least some initial corresponding intrusions of moisture into California
El Nino in Pacific Seen as Strongest Since Record 1997-98 Event
September 1, 2015 03:10 PM
The El Nino that’s changing weather across the globe is now the strongest since the record event almost two decades ago.
Sea temperature anomalies in the central Pacific Ocean are now at their highest since 1997–98, Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology said in a fortnightly update on its website. The values are still below the peak observed in the period, it said.
Forecasters in the U.S. predict the El Nino may be the strongest in records going back to 1950. It has already brought torrential rains to parts of South America and dryness to Southeast Asia. The Philippines plans to boost rice imports to prepare for potential shortages, while Rabobank International warned that the weather event is a key risk to Australian wheat crops.
“Most of the eight international climate models surveyed by the bureau indicate there is likely to be some further warming of central Pacific Ocean during the coming months,” the Australian forecaster said. “About half the models indicate the event may begin to plateau during spring to early summer.”
In Australia, spring starts in September and summer begins in December.
The 1997-98 El Nino was the strongest on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
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