Pattern Charts - BZ Fibonacci

[pippylongstockings]

Something interesting I came across.Perhaps in your experience you can help to share your accuracies and guesstimates.

Also what is the shortest time frame that you use?

Interpretation


The slow start in the Fibonacci sequence creates relatively tight clustering at the beginning of the Fibonacci Time Zones. Sometimes, it is necessary to ignore the first 5 or so time zones. After the first five zones, these zones expand quite quickly as the sequence unfolds. According to the theory, potential reversal points can be found by looking ahead 21, 34, 55, 89 and 144 days, all of which are Fibonacci numbers. 21 days marks the 8th Fibonacci Time Zone. Some subsequent zones are listed below. Remember, you can find future times zones by adding the previous two time zones (89 + 144 = 233).

? 8th zone = 21 days or periods


? 9th zone = 34 days or periods


? 10th zone = 55 days or periods


? 11th zone = 89 days or periods


? 12th zone = 144 days or periods


? 13th zone = 233 days or periods


Chart 1 - Fibonacci Time Zones

QQQQ Example


Chart 1 shows the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQQ) with the Fibonacci Time Zones extending from the March 2009 low, which was an important low. The first 7 time zones are difficult to use because of the tight clustering. The sequence gets some breathing room starting with the 8th time zone (21 days). The 9th time zone (34 days) coincided nicely with the July low. The 10th time zone (55 days) occurred in the middle of an uptrend and was not significant. The 11th time zone occurred near the February low.

Chart 2 - Fibonacci Time Zones

Chart 2 shows QQQQ with time added to see the next Fibonacci Time Zone. Under “chart attributes” users can add “extra bars” to view future Fibonacci Time Zones. The next Fibonacci Time Zone comes at the 155 day mark at the beginning of September 2010. QQQQ has been trending lower since late April and this zone could mark an important low.

Chart 3 - Fibonacci Time Zones

Euro Example


Chart 4 shows the Euro ETF (FXE) with the Fibonacci Time Zones extending from the April 2008 high, which marked a major high. The 8th Fibonacci Time Zone (21 days) marked a top in July, the 34 day line did not mark anything significant and the 55 day line marked a significant low. The March 2009 high formed just after the 89 day line and the November high was a month after the 144 day line. As with most forecasting and cycle tools, a little leeway is required, especially when the lengths grow longer.

Chart 4 - Fibonacci Time Zones

Chart 5 shows FXE with time added to see the next Fibonacci Time Zone at 233. Even though the Euro ETF bounced in June-July, another leg lower is still possible with the Fibonacci Time Zones forecasting a low in September 2010. 50 days were added to this chart to see the next Fibonacci Time Zone. After 233, the next line would be at day 377, which means the chart would need around 330 extra days for viewing.

Chart 5 - Fibonacci Time Zones

Conclusions


Fibonacci Time Zones are called “zones” for a reason. They are not hard reversal points, but rather potential reversal points to watch as prices approach this zone. Fibonacci Time Zones provide a cross between cycle analysis and Fibonacci analysis. Both have a wide following and turning points can be forecast weeks and months in advance. However, these forecast points serve as an alert for a potential trend reversal. As these reversal points approach, chartists should turn to other aspects of technical analysis to actually confirm the reversal. This could be a bullish or bearish pattern, bullish or bearish candlesticks, bullish or bearish indicators or clues from the price chart itself.

http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:fibonacci_time_zones