Afinida Inc (TREP)

[imiloa]

BadDog is right. Several of my friends are doctors and they are all very concerned about the reality of a human-human relayable strain of the virus. Look at the stats on chickens dying, and replace chickens with humans in each news report.

That said, the strain has yet to emerge, and it is possible that a vaccine will be developed before such evolution. But logically, trusting in that is like driving on iffy brakes.

re: Uniqueness of STTK's tech, there are many companies on the livestock tracking bandwagon, among them ADSX/DOC, which has been in this niche for several years.

In this case, it's the contract that matters. ie: Not who has the tech, but who makes the biz deal for the revenue.

For my part, I got into STTK mainly because of the underlying, growing security installation foundation of the company. Real revenues in hand there, with great growth potential.

From the 10Q on pinksheets:

http://www.pinksheets.com/quote/print_filings.jsp?url=%2Fredirect.asp%3Ffilename%3D0001137171%252D06...

STTK revs for 6mo prior to 12/31/06 were $210k/mo (1286k/6).
For 3mo prior to 12/31/06: $252k/mo (756k/3)

In the path month, they've release PR announcing over $3m in new contracts:

$1500k -- Spectrum, Coopers Lookout
$500k -- Green Harbor, The Rise
$500k -- King Edward Village
$500k -- Pomaria, Laguna, La Colomba and Skyline
$150k -- The Vine

In balance, with 70m/100m shares outstanding (take your pick, it only changes the math by 30%), even $3m/year in revenue would yield a 20-30 price/sales ratio with STTK at $1. ie: More realistically, current security biz contracts are worth about 6-15 cents/share at a 2-3 P/S.

Consider the rapid increase in contracts since 2005 and the marquee names of their current projects, STTK does seem well positioned to cash in on the Vancouver Olympic building boom. And we all know how important security is at the Olympics. So the 6-15 cents/share could easier ramp up quickly in 2006-2007.

Nutshell, imo, the bird flu tracking biz is potentially a large PPS-driver for STTK, but the investment is also hedged on the growing security biz foundation.