The impetus for today’s action was explained in #msg-101570911: Shell had been issuing (cheaper) RDS-A shares in lieu of cash dividends and then offsetting the dilution by buying back (more expensive) RDS-B shares, causing a negative arbitrage situation that reached materiality when the RDS-A discount to RDS-B widened to a record 8% recently.
Now that Shell will stop issuing new RDS-A shares and it can repurchase both classes of shares in the open market, the artificial supply-demand imbalance between the two share classes that was caused by Shell’s dividend/buyback policy no longer exists.
As a result, RDS-A is up today (+0.6%) while RDS-B is down (-3.7%), and RDS-A is now trading at only a 4% discount to RDS-B .
A discount of approximately 4% will likely remain because RDS-A dividends are subject to a 15% tax withholding by the Netherlands while RDS-B shares aren’t.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”
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