mjk, that is the way I see it too, however, a close below 2240 would negate my bullish opinion and I would go to cash.
I see that the short-term Nasdaq and NYSE McClellan Oscillators ($NAMO and $NYMO) are near a bottom. If we have a big down day today, we should at least get a good size ST bounce which may be the launch that all the bulls are looking for.
Jan 4 - We have transitioned into a bear market. Completely different rules apply.
May 23 - IMO, any price at/above this close makes a great Nasdaq/SP500 short.