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lets breakout this afternoon
Horizon Mine Coal Quality: Its atypical to mine bituminous coal as subbitiminous is more the norm in the West. What's the difference? Bituminous has more BTU value than Sub. Guess what Horizon Mine contains? That's correct, Bituminous Coal which is not only 1/100 of the sulfur concentration of the eastern bituminous but also has the equivalent Energy (BTU) value as well.
That's a win win which requires less pollution control equipment at the electric plant and providing mover energy than the typical western sources. ASWR has a hot commodity. They need to use this as a marketing tool as I am sure those in the industry are keenly aware of these benefits.
I just got out of a meeting with the State Environmental Protection Department and I asked their Engineer what is going to be most difficult to comply with between upcoming air, water and soil regulations and she said the air regulations before I could finish my question.
As an engineer consultant I have seen this issue put multi-million dollar corporations out of business overnite. The cost of lime (Calcium Oxide) to remove sulfur at the stack is out of control not to mention the delivery cost at 5.00 per gallon deisel. Wake up and smell the clean air...
Low sulfur compliant coal has true intinsic value to coal fired generators.
P23 great question. I have several reasons but mostly I believe AWSR to be a great takeover candidate offering a huge pay day. I have several speculative gold mining plays as well.
Also I don't want to abandon my buddy Blue he's got b*lls ie Blue Ba**s. That warrants respect in my book..... Go ASWR
Why do you spend time and energy beating AWSR up?
Greenhouse Gases Revisiited. Sulfur converts or oxidizes to SOx upon combustion. Airborne Sulfur Oxides (SOx) can cause asthma and other respiratory ailments. EPA has administered both emission and ambient quality SOx standards under the Clean Air Act. Problem- there were alot of non compliant coal fired electric plants that were "grandfathered" until major permit revisions were required. This let the older polluting plants continue while other newer plants were required to meet Greenhouse gas emissions standards. Cheap electricity made them money hand over fist but no more..
Currently under the revised EPA regulations the CAA is now a living document. This means that the grandfather loopholes are being closed. ASWR supplies low sulfur coal therefore there is an advantage over the east coast coal which can contain over 100 times more sulfur.
If I were a coal plant I would need low S coal now more than ever. ASWR will carry a premium for this reason alone.
Blue, thank you for the concise accurate synopsis. Looking over todays action I noticed something note worthy. Like a raging stallion at the gate there were two nice gaps up one in the open and one at close. Pple this is a sign we may be nearing the honey hole.
ASWR 3:55 spike was pretty exciting. If you play pennys you are by definition not a value investor. A penny guy is a tea leaf reader. Some have better intuition than others.
What kind of story is SNPK the APS new pick? A vitamin that works well with anticoagulants and is being sold in OHIO. Really? Does that warrant a run?
ASWR is a real idea and I enjoyed playing with toy trains and loadouts when I was a kid.
ASWR can gap up tomorrow and move on the small float. Also I like Blue he's got moxy. I'm just saying...
Another point of fairness when comparing Sulfur Content to BTU value as quoted from an engineering expert document.
"Another problem with low sulfur coals is that they tend to release less heat energy than higher sulfur coals when they are burned. That means that you have to burn more of it to generate the same amount of power. As a result, utilities ended up having to buy more coal, another cost that was passed on to the consumer."
Nothing is perfect but one thing is for sure Air Pollution standards are extreemely costly to meet and sound economic/engineering considerations must be done when comparing these types of fossil fuels. My experience as an Environmental Engineer tells me that I would rather not face the mouth of the dragon (ie Sulfur removal at the stack) at all costs.
I don't count my chickens while in the shell. I agree penny's are a risk and CE is disturbing.... I agree current economic conditions are not good but with that being said theres an imposed economic consideration and that is the low sulfur play and new mining techniques. I would rather bring factual hope with fresh new perspective (environmental) than redredge up old articles that are in place for manipulative purposes over and over followed by unsupported chants of top out numbers.
Things move fast in pennies and this one warrants a bit of risk capital IMHO. Don't kill the messenger as the cheerleaders are not responding to my words of hope either except to help them use them to raise there non substantiated wish lists top numbers. I said 2's this year and stand by it as it has been there with last 12 months.
Future earning Q over Q will be beaten handily now that in full production. Only an agenda laden short would refute or not consider this probability. All the negative of the past will be what accelerates earnings in the future. As I stated earlier most were anomolies one time and cost of business for ramp up which will inevitable be a positive in future earnings reports.
The APS debacle is the biggest anomaly behind AWSR and with that behind them there should be minimal risk. P come on in the water is fine. Dip your toes atleast.
Now that Electric Cars are in vogue and being Green is Cool it would be nice if we all understood that when you plug in your vehicle it comes from energy originating from fossil fuels, primarily coal.. As they (Government) praise electric they spank the producers by implementing carbon taxes, increasing stringent Air Pollution standards which disable private business and increase costs to public, not to mentions stresses out our fragile national grid.
Where am I going? Well to get back on track a clean coal burns at a premium when compared to non compliant carbon (BTU vs BTU).....AWSR will sell its product for a premium for their coal as Sulfur removal is costly. Different processes such as Electrostatic Precipitators, Wet Scrubbers and the like have extremely high capital and operating costs. Also downtime for servicing these Air Pollution devices will be eliminated if clean product is used.
I have seen the cost of Lime CaO increase of 100 percent over the last few years. This is putting companies out of business. What is the relation of lime to sulfur. It removes it from stacks to meet newly revised air standards. It's real and its a death knell...
As for my situation I had to switch vendors and buy fines (unrefined) because the pulverized quicklime became cost prohibitive. Compliant has never meant more than it does now folks.
Teffster's looking in rear view mirror. Although his analysis of the relative sales and quarterly examination carries merit, most incurred liabilities are the cause of unique onetime writeoffs settled penalties and general cost of creating this business to handle these largeer contracts:
AWSR forward looking business will improve due to:
1) full capacity back on line
2) 875 Million contracts
3) relationships with Union Pac
4) rising energy costs
These are just the basics so Teff get your eyes off the mirror and drive safe.
Compliant low sulfur coal is a high demand commodity. With the newly enacted greenhouse gas emissions restrictions it is very expensive to remove sulfur (ie lime (CaO)and should bode well on the market place. The difference b/w the Mid East Sweet and Canadian Sand Mine and Baucan crude is sulfur.
We should see fair market value return to mid 40's as before the rumor mill of APS campaign.
Don't let fear drive you out and greed keep you in too long. Set your goals and ASWR should deliver up to 2 bucks sometime this year IMHO.
SNPK Crashing: Short Lived P&D will go by way of NSRS, RAYS and ECIT which means get out now and forever hold your peace.
sbco: how do you consolidate under 0.04 w/out delisting?
Does it taste like chicken? Where are they hiding Madoff? I know he's around here somewhere. I need a bocci ball partner.
only 6 days left
What do they serve for lunch? I want my Mommy.
I got here by attacking a spammer... There is something to be said about no good deed going unpunished.
I get out this afternoon send me your requests and if AWSR recovers I will endow your canteen money. GLTA my fellow felons.....
Good afternoon all its good to be back on line. I'm in for busting Blues Balls in AWSR (full disclosure). Things looking very ugly in ASWR land today. Once again I apologize to Blue for the comments made.
Any1 else following this Coal Mining Play. Apparently APS is running a campaign but has been delayed in its release.
What kinda food do they serve in jail?
They work through a 3rd party typically. This way there fingerprints aren't identifiable should "inside trading" issues come to question due to excessive price movement.
Remember pple this is a risk assessment issue, Union Pac and Warren Buffet ties along with different types of contracts are all smoke and mirrors.
The movement depends on nothing more or less on if Awesome Penny Stock promo will occur.
Jaydubs set sail in the potomac and use the wind created by passing bullets. ASWR is not a real co. imho. Does that matter? We trade junk here, and unfortunately there is no honor among thieves. Learn the game and get your sail on....
This gamble is no more fundamental then the 4th race in Belmont other than we may know AWSR took a DUMP "accidental release" minutes b4 the start....
If your patients are running thin, feed them through a tube. AWSR is unfortunately not going to be willed to move. There's obvious support from MM at "ground 0.70". Its a Utah Thing.
Let the games continue today and don't forget to exercise your patients should they stop running thin.
Just got back in looks like I missed morning heartburn. Ground 0.7 still holding.
I only padded the boat but got my pple in to fill it up and then some. This puts me in the Captains seat when and if we sink.
We're not weak hands with somewhat deep pockets. APS can F me once shame on you F me twice, "I don't think so"
Great point Icky. I will take my pple to new better more predictable pasteurs where boring is the rule. I will bash the promos now that I know the game as they have f$$ked me and mine hard.
I would much rather have a feather in my cap and establish future investment relations. I am a lover not a hater but....
Red is coming from the fire pit: AWSR serving a late lunch for the westies BBQ Short Ribs. Getchya some..... You know what they say about BBQ pig "it always tastes better the next day" fixin to learn yeee....
Lunch Menu: BBQ Short Ribs well done eom
Don't let the green eyed monster get the best of you....
Set points should reflect reasonable risks. Get yours out and play with the Houses money. This will be quick and sooner than predicted. Too much kerosene thrown on it to be put out.
Simmering shorts, mmm smells like pig bacon
Good post first time I heard reasoning for the retraction. Makes sense and now we should have clearance for resolution. The only question that refutes your logic is: does APS do exclusivity marketing (ie nsrs thru Feb)?
Huge interest: Surpassed volume of Ihub RAYS board messages. Lets see if that equates to a stronger pop. I am in at $1.16 and haven't slept much this week.
Time is of the Essence: APS knows that every day that passes subscribers are losing confidence. Support will fall apart next week for sure if nothing is confirmed.
I called ELITE located in Lake Mary, Central Florid. AWSR's Investor Relations which happens to be where I am located as well. The receptionist was very adamant about her denial of knowing anything about APS. I got her upset when I said that it would be impossible for AWSR IR people not to know anything based on the price action last week. She got upset and flustered and I knew then that she was lying about not knowing.
When she put me on hold to get a manager I hung up cause I learned everything I needed to know.
Honest Truth not lying so help me G*d
I'm sitting on 40% losses full disclosure. $1.15 Buy Price
Help us bagholders out here folks and make big profit.
Gizmo, I agree with that statement, but unfortunately I thought I had the confirmation of marketing release when I purchased or would not have touched this pig. Do you see why I and others are so frustrated with APS and the other clones for misleading marketing practices?
I and others have shot our loads and are now forced to witness this abortion unfold ....
ThumbRule: When addressing risky situation follow these simple steps:
1) ID your risk tolerance
2) Do DD
3) Assess environment
4) Execute wisely
5) Be prepared and
6) Don't let fear or greed get best of you.
JMHO
GLTA defies logic. Good luck to all would imply that one wishes good luck to people who are betting against them... (Shorts/Longs)
Therefore for me, GLTL and stay the course. the shorts are hear to derail us from the promised land. Give up your dreams give up your life....
Any longs have a good exit strategy please share. I'm in at 1.15 avg and not wanting to get slaughtered but would like a little beer money for Saturday Night. Maybe not this Saturday but a March Saturday....
Thanks in advance.
If you need my help I'm special ops trained.
As a marine i've been taught to assess conditions as this is war. If I gave my enemy a timeframe then we might as well surrender our freedom. This game is for keeps with pockets ladened with gold and carriers of empty bags at the end of day.
I respect the hell out of Sykes cause he's honest about his intentions. Don't hate the player. And no I have no affiliation. See ya up there soon.
Basic Laws of Physics and Economics
Gravity: Water runs downhill
Supply/Demand: Low supply (Small Float) high demand causes prices to rise
You really don't have to look further. But I did and I pounded the IR company from Lake Mary (which is in my hood)
My guess is they knows a lil more then they sayz.....
I was passed on to her superiors when she couldn't respond to my collaboration accusations....
The challenge here isn't ingress but rather egress....
Certainly:
The contracts intact
Small Float
Tons of interest
and Most importantly
Human Nature and the Greed Factor