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baletwine

05/07/03 9:25 PM

#105566 RE: Zeev Hed #105564

"To be safe that a top is in, you may want to wait for the BPCOMPQ to cross its 14 day's moving average, of course, that may be a solid 50 Naz points or so from the top (g)."

Here's an interesting chart of just that idea....

-- Bale


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ajtj99

05/07/03 9:41 PM

#105568 RE: Zeev Hed #105564

Actually, I've found the BPNDX is probably a better early warning topping and reversal indicator when it crosses its 20EMA. That usually signals a reversal. A cross of the 13-EMA is a prelude and tells you something's up.

I do think the put/call is not letting this be a sustainable top (meaning we'll be baack, kind of like Arnold says).

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ajtj99

05/07/03 9:47 PM

#105570 RE: Zeev Hed #105564

Actually, I just checked and the 14SMA seems to work better than the 20-EMA and with fewer whipsaws than the 13-EMA on the BPCOMP chart. Nice.