No intellectual dishonesty, to predict the future as to how events unfold is fortune teller's business and that's what you are advocating. Kind of silly.
What you should do to answer your own question would be to check out history as to why revolutions occur. Why the American one or the French or Russian revolutions happened. Don't be lazy and depend on me, I already know the answers to why the American and French and Russian revolutions occurred, you appear to be in the dark on such issues.
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