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Joe Stocks

04/26/03 3:53 PM

#101955 RE: ajtj99 #101920

>>>If you're talking about a possible 20-25% haircut here, I'll agree, but please don't call that a crash.<<<

What's wrong with "20-25%" being called a crash. It looks to me that's about what the 1987 "crash" was. This has been a bear market of first. Expect the unexpected. We never had a bubble quite so big. I think it is reasonable to speculate that we could have acrash after a 80% drop fron extraordinary lofty levels.




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Joe Stocks

04/26/03 5:07 PM

#101966 RE: ajtj99 #101920

Another chart of interest showing how much different things may be now from other times that may have faced a "crash".
According to this chart we could very possibly see much lower levels. Maybe we get there quicker with a crash or maybe greenie can manufacture a soft landing at much lower levels. Who knows.

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federal reserves

04/26/03 7:56 PM

#101978 RE: ajtj99 #101920

ajtj99> No crash?

Ok, right you are, I'll just call it

"THE BIG ACCIDENT OF 2003!"