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jellybean

11/21/13 3:17 PM

#170313 RE: DewDiligence #170301

You will appreciate this article.

Nat Rev Drug Discov. 2013 Oct;12(10):737-8. doi: 10.1038/nrd4127.
Pharmaceutical forecasting: throwing darts?
Cha M, Rifai B, Sarraf P.

the authors use historical data from the launch of >260 drugs to show that sell side analysts are terrible at predicting drug sales.