I am about as far from bullish as one could get. However, I'm trying to be realistic in light of what's happening and consider all the possibilities.
As for the Dump-O-Meter, the early opening for the window begins in a week, and normally would run through early May. However, in it took 10-weeks to fruition one time at the Sept. 2001 lows (meaning it has taken as long as 10-weeks, but normally runs from 4-8 weeks, with 4-6 weeks the sweet spot).
When I mentioned the late April-early May window, that was based upon the normal 4-6 week window that's been operative the past 8-months.