Vid, I don't think $2B unrealistic at all (though I don't think Ariad will be sold).
Ariad has ap. a year's worth of money at current spending (which can be
curtailed to extend available time). So, there will be no fire-sale.
If they're back on track by the end of the year (as Dr.Berger stated), market
sentiment will change on a dime.
I just read thru the posts (links fr. zip, THANKS!!) by p3analyze and jq, and it's
very calming to consider the medical/scientific side of things. Away from the
mad world of the "street" and the sharks circling about, it's just a matter of
understanding the issues, and solving problems.
The painful reality is that we're sitting on a huge loss, with weeks of uncertainty
to look forward to. And I say weeks, since I think we'll have at least enough
info as we move toward ASH, to set expectations in some reasonable direction.