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Replies to #28120 on The Black Box
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gottfried

01/13/06 9:02 PM

#28121 RE: wahz #28120

wahz, the ratio trend continues down; good for the Naz. below that is a link to bpndx - leading bpcompq


http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$BPNDX,uu[w,a]wallyiay[df][pf][vc60][iUb14!Lb14]&pre...

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dieselfuel

01/13/06 9:46 PM

#28123 RE: wahz #28120

This may be a dumb question to ask here, but are you interested in Japan?

Looks like their bull market is starting starting to "rage".

Demographics are in their favor. It will give us a place to make a few bucks when our markets crash later this decade.

Always somewhere to make a buck. :>)
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James Bondage

01/14/06 3:18 PM

#28127 RE: wahz #28120

Many years ago you thought that 2300's, 2800's and 3,100 were a possiblity on the Naz. Your first target has been hit, and between 2300 and 2800 is very thin, meaning it can shoot up quite fast.

I am dismayed about all the bullish behavior out there, and am now reconsidering my position for 2006. The portfolio is already up over 17% in two weeks, so Tuesday I may decide to pull out for 6 months. I think this year can end up being up 10-15% on the indexes, but it may very well be the 20-25% run after dunping here first.

Any thoughts on this strategy. What is keeping you on the long side now that we have reached your first goal?

I really don't like how Cisco all of a sudden is THE STOCK to own for 2006. Consolidations do occur, but I am suspect about "THE BOYS" not shaking it out first to the downside prior to a sustained move up. Something smells around here...