Northsun, you do not offend me. My mother had said a lot worst things about me, and she really knows me.
But you just prove my point and showed that you are a reasonable and successful investor, who is only 7.14% confident that HRT will find oil.
Your sucesss rate is a lot lower than all the originally success percentages assigned to the three failed HRT reservoirs. I think they averaged 23% or so, but they were independent events.
So if we recalculate your confidence of HRT finding oil, I guess is even lower now.