Replies to post #923 on The Black Box

[wahz]

SPX:Standard & Poor's 500 Rating:N/R
McManus, Thomas Volatility:
Strategy & Economics/Strategy & Economics
Price $878.85
12-Month Target $1,100.00
52-Week Range $1133-769
Fully Diluted Shares O/S 9,097 M
Market Capitalization $7,995 B
Avg 3-Mo Daily Volume 0.000 M
Secular EPS Growth 8%
Current Year Estimated Revenues $6600 B
Market Cap/Revenues 121%
Dividend/Yield N/A
FYE JAN 2001A 2002E 2003E
EPS Q1 (APR) $12.90 $12.08A $12.50
EPS Q2 (JUL) $13.10 $13.04A $13.50
EPS Q3 (OCT) $12.65 $12.75E $14.00
EPS Q4 (JAN) $11.95 $12.38E $15.00
FISCAL YR $50.60 $50.25E $55.00
P/E 17.4 17.5 16.0
P/E/G 217% 219% 200%
CAL YR $50.25 $55.00 $60.00
P/E 17.5 16.0 14.6
P/E/G 219% 200% 182%

Chart:
Time Frame: None1 Day2 Days5 Days10 Days1 Month2 Months3 Months6 Months1 Year2 Years3 Years4 Years5 Years1 DecadeAll Data
Compare to Index: NoneDJIANASDAQS&P500
Frequency: None1 Minute5 Minutes15 MinutesHourlyDailyWeeklyMonthlyQuarterlyYearly

BAS vs. Consensus
BAS Consensus Difference
Next Qtr Est $12.75 $13.23 $-0.48
Current FY $50.25 $51.88 $-1.63
Next FY $55.00 $55.71 $-0.71




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Its hard to read in this format but here is the 50$ number. McManus, as you may know, has been the most accurate bank strategist of the bear, and these are his numbers. They aren't aggressive, actually well under consensus, but I know there is no sense arguing about it. I am aware no one cares and agree that fa won't matter until the bear is clearly over, and its not clear yet, by any means.