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AnderL

11/10/05 4:41 PM

#1156 RE: AnderL #1155

Market Update

Close: Finally, the market found a catalyst to help preserve the historical outperformance native to November, perhaps setting the market up for a third consecutive week of gains. Strangely, however, the broad-based rally that closed eight of ten sectors higher was ignited by...

a strong bond auction? At 1:00 ET, the Treasury Dept. sold $13 bln in 10-year notes at a yield of 4.578% and, when indirect bidder participation (i.e. foreign central banks) checked in at a whopping 55.6% - more than twice this year's average of 25% - the 10-year (+18/32) continued to climb, eventually closing the yield at 4.56%. Since high interest rates have continued to be a restraint on the boost that better than expected corporate profits have awarded roughly two-thirds of the S&P 500, the pullback in borrowing costs spurred widespread buying efforts. To wit, the rate-sensitive Financial sector acted as the strongest source of support, as the AMEX Securities Broker/Dealer Index (XBD) closed at a new 52-week high. An afternoon turnaround in the influential Tech sector, which had served as the second largest drag on the market behind Energy, helped lift the Nasdaq into positive territory for good. Discouraging Q2 sales guidance from Cisco Systems (CSCO 17.15 -0.60) was eventually offset by strength in the semiconductor group, led by Intel's (INTC 25.24 +0.44) $25 bln buyback and 25% dividend increase, gains from leading software names and a late-day reversal in Dell (DELL 29.21 +0.19) ahead of its Q3 report. Health Care, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, and Consumer Staples - in order of their influence on the S&P 500 - also gained at least 1.0% on the session. A 1.9% pullback in oil prices ($57.80/bbl -$1.13) was eventually embraced as more of a benefit, clearing...

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AnderL

12/06/05 6:11 PM

#1226 RE: AnderL #1155

Here comes the money -

Good News for European Real GDP as well

When relatively lower interest rates and newly printed Euros and Pounds fully settle in the European markets expect the increased liquidity to start propping up the European markets and add some surprising prosperity to their economies. Lower rates provides more opportunites to borrow massive debt for investment. That will increase the value of European asset classes and will inevitably provide a steady stream of demand for US dollars and hard assets like real estate.

By no means does this mean it will prop up real estate prices. All it does is provides Europeans the opportunity to make gains from currency spreads and provide cash flow from their purchased properties, mostly commercial.

The increased liquidity will also help support demand for commodities as their flock to them when there is scare of infaltionary factors. Consider the European economies to be about 3-4 years behind the US in recovery.


Kash http://angrybear.blogspot.com/2005/11/gdp-3q-revision.html detailed the latest good news on U.S. real GDP growth. Eurostat http://epp.eurostat.cec.eu.int/portal/page?_pageid=1090,30070682,1090_33076576&_dad=portal&_... provides a link entitled “Euro-zone and EU25 GDP up by 0.6%” (approximately 2.5% per annum) for the third quarter of 2005. It appears that Europe is also recovering from the global recession of a couple of years ago.