I doubt my success rate is 85%, just took a loss here on COCO at $36.35 (-$.07), I think that I can get back in closer to may traditional $35 (which I had in this morning as a "double, but did not execute).
"I usually don't have a clue what the market will do"
You're no novice if you have have truly realized that you don't have a clue what the market will do. Such an enlightenment is the hallmark of seasoned traders who know how to keep their capital safe.