I would wait until we have a signifigant low and trade with profits from that trade off the low. Uncle Sam will pick up some of the tab from any losses that are incurred. Zeev is amazing but for a beginner it is easier to just swing trade with principal. The important thing is staying in the game.
Thanks for the reply Sandy. You know, before jumping in the water I would like to know what optimistic and pessimistic options are. The pessimistic scenario is clear. You say that the optimistic one is like 1-3%. I would live with that <g>.