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Phil(Hot Rod Chevy)

10/03/05 6:35 PM

#7297 RE: bigbrr #7296

What does supply and demand have to do with the fact than management said they would be selling 1000 units a month by August?

You mean they didn't consider those variables when they said that?

If not,

How the hell can they predict/project earnings 18 months out?

Phil


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watchdog11

10/03/05 10:25 PM

#7301 RE: bigbrr #7296

Big Guy, here's the problem. The company is using best-case Pro Forma projections as a guidance to set the price of their stock. I once sat across the table from a VP from AIG Insurance and showed him my Pro Forma. He looked at it and said “my streak is in still alive”. I asked what he meant. He replied “I have yet to ever see a Pro Forma I didn’t like.” The inference was obvious; Pro Forma’s mean little or nothing and should have little or no value in the establishment of the price of a stock. NAUG must abandon this practice to gain credibility, but like a bad drug, they’re hooked on them.

Sir Dog