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integrivest

02/22/03 7:10 PM

#79204 RE: Public Heel #79201

I think you're wrong on both counts.

Time will tell.

Nazz 2000 is not in the cards for a long, long time, imo.

But certainly before we leave Iraq [GG]
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Captain_Jack

02/22/03 7:51 PM

#79207 RE: Public Heel #79201

P H-- nope,, Saddam is hanging around at least until defeat is assured. Then he may try and bargain his way out but already has an exit plan. In order for the mkt to get a bounce that will be MOSTLY sustainable he must be captured or preferrably killed. Any trail for his crimes against humanity will prove costly as others (90% US) attempt to right his wrongs,, an impossiblity but good world politics. If he was wise enough to depart, he would have been wise enough not to do the crap he has done-- Bush is not bullshitting,, Saddam goes 1 way or another. War is much more likely since the ANTIs have given him some hope and a feeling of support. The ANTIs have been responsible for wars lasting much longer than required. NAS 2000 will have nothing to do with Iraq. It will take earnings in tech that are very far away. It will take growth that is not possible in the amount required for years. The required consolidation is not happening-- more need to disappear or be taken over first. Instead of consolidation, support is keeping some of the dead walking. NAS 1750 is a long way off. No one will remember Saddam by the time NAS 2K arrives. There are no MSFTs or INTCs about to bring the required growth, there is nothing to compare with the I-nut to bring hype. As proven Fri, people are so afraid of a terrorist act they are in constant panic mode. NAS 2K is Dreamland, IMO.
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mlsoft

02/22/03 9:53 PM

#79221 RE: Public Heel #79201

Public Heel....

I would not be surprised if it is a number of years before we see NAZ 2000 again. Should Saddam flee or drown while trying to swim the Euphrates with a tank on his back, I would agree that the market would have a sharp rally, but I also think it would be very short lived and doubt it could get past 1500, if that far.

Iraq has not been the problem behind this bear market and it will not be the solution. It is just a sideshow.

Just my opinion, though.

mlsoft