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bbgold

02/13/03 11:56 AM

#11714 RE: Bernard Ng #11712

Morning Bernard,
Overnight Futures hit resistance at 823, right where the 50SMA was at the close. After that is was mostly all downhill. Looks as though 'Jeff' might have his target at 810 here holding Support. We might just have a good LOD signal and are well away from the 320SMA, 200 Dow points. I am Anticipating a bounce from here. I am not sure how high though.
Let's see what happens! :^)

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Bernard Ng

02/14/03 8:59 AM

#11739 RE: Bernard Ng #11712

Way to go NVDA, one story, two actions, three brokerage firms.

NVIDIA: CSFB would look to sell into any strength (NVDA) 9.87: CSFB thinks the qtr was good (EPS of $0.16 vs firm's est of $0.06), but thinks some questions remain unanswered. For example, given co's 60-day guaranteed order book from MSFT, it does not seem plausible that uncertainty regarding XBOX revs could be the cause of the lack of revenue guidance - as NVDA suggested. Firm believes stock is fairly valued at $10.50, and given indications by most reviews that NV30 isn't as great as expected, lack of SEC resolution, and shrinking addressable mkt, firm would sell into any strength.

NVIDIA upped to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; target $27 (NVDA) 9.87: -- Update -- The upgrade reflects co's solid Q4 report and firm's belief that they suggest co's fundamentals will rapidly improve during the next one to two years. Morgan Stanley raises 2004 est to $0.85 from $0.60 (Multex consensus $0.51) and initiates 2005 with a $1.35 est. Believes co offers the potential for strong earnings growth and meaningful positive earnings surprises in future qtrs. Firm raises price target to $27 from $18.

NVIDIA upped to Buy from Mkt Perform at Thomas Weisel (NVDA) 9.87: -- Update -- This is NVDA's second upgrade of the morning. Thomas Weisel believes stock is compelling at current levels. Firm establishes a 6-month price target of $15, based on 20x projected CY03 earnings of $0.75.



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Bernard Ng

02/14/03 8:59 AM

#11740 RE: Bernard Ng #11712

T AT&T initiated with Sell at Fulcrum (17.49)
Fulcrum initiates coverage with a SELL; citing stiff competition and its expectation that T will have to cut it dividend in 2004. Initiates other wireline providers - FON, SBC, VZ, BLS, and Q - with Neutral ratings.

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Bernard Ng

02/14/03 9:16 AM

#11745 RE: Bernard Ng #11712

IndexPulse TrendWatch for Friday

Overall Market:
Long Term: Short
Medium Term: Short
Short Term: Flat

Time Frame and Trading Signals: as stated in iBox

Futures are green, but coming down fast. FTSE gapped up and now trading at open price. TNX gapped up and bouncing off from the initial sell off, but it has made a HOD signal. Don't have much expectation to the market, as we will challenge 320SMA soon, the short term top should be 7850 for this morning runup. A real bull can take it to 7900. The UN report today should have lots of negative comment on Irag, becareful of the long.

Mich Sentiment-Prel. will come out at 9:45am, it should only have a short term effect to the market today.

INDU's 5 day MACD support at -45, resistance at +30. Market started to runup huge at MACD support yesterday. However, at this rate, we should see INDU hitting the MACD resistance soon, which should conincide with the 320SMA.

INDU should have a trading range between 7650 and 7900.
NDX should have a trading range between 940 and 980.
SPX should have a trading range between 805 and 835.
The ranges are rather big today, as I have included both possible top and bottom range.
JMHO.