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SOUTHPEN

03/04/12 12:11 PM

#2178 RE: dmlabuda #2176

Clearly the more investors that enter into analyzing stocks in a technical manner will inevitably lead to self prophesying .Not only is this dangerous to individual investors ,it opens the door to reckless behavior from companies and funds. If nobody cares about income statements,value of assets and the demand for the product then we lead ourselves to bubbles, sometimes in an individual stock,sometimes in an entire market. T.A.,believes that "the market discounts everything" I might add ,IN TIME ! ,I would agree but trying to react quickly enough to the volatility in today's markets , is difficult.First your reaction will be slower than the vast majority of your competition(and that's if your good) Who's got the bigger computer.? Who's closer to the source? Secondly ,if your reaction is slower ,it also means your over reaction is worse. This is why more tech guys are spending a lot more time on stocks which are off the radar of the bigger funds.(mainly found in OTC and AMEX) This is a dangerous area for people that don't know exactly what they are doing and to be perfectly honest ,it's bad for the markets over all. Creation of income for doing very little might be good in the short term for the individual but their actions in the long term ,as previously said create bubbles. T.A. and short selling can be useful for individuals and funds disciplining certain Companies Managers and are therefore useful as a tool to be used for short and long term gains for individuals and fund managers following extensive fundamental analysis.,imo I don't disagree that "Price moves in trends",but if trends are not based on fundamentals,ie; cyclical ,then reliance should be heavily scrutinized. "History does tend to repeat itself ", but the dynamics of markets are changing as a more Global Economy " develops. Never has an individual been better advised about macro views of investing and therefore should not minimize it's importance.Only Fundamental analysis can do that with certainty,imo. Understand ,that Fundamental Analysis has two perspectives. 1. Wall St. and their Balance sheets (which I agree can be easily manipulated ) 2. more " Mainstreet " NET ASSET VALUE ,which really can't be manipulated. If you get the second one right ,then losing your investment is difficult providing, you do not panic.Long term shareholders of DEJOUR ENERGY will end up winning either way but if more people spent less time trading for small profits ,the larger realization of profit would occur a lot sooner . Down the line ,the more of the traders (by your own admission) that don't really know exactly what they are doing will likely trade there way right out of this stock before any real cash value has been realized. I see no reason to encourage something that causes so many people to advance the cause of so few.
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SOUTHPEN

03/05/12 8:23 AM

#2179 RE: dmlabuda #2176

Sometimes I have to completely agree with the tech guys! J.C. Parets on 03-01-12 says in an interview, that Natural Gas could climb exponentially in the next short while. The Fundamentalist guys are saying we have too much NG and therefore the price see's no upside.Very short sighted. ( exporting of NG is coming ,QUICKLY) Parets says all the NG is selling at a 40-1 ratio with crude ,which is ridiculous . (should be at 10-1)Using tech analysis (moving avg's),Parets says there is no way this will continue. The bottom line is I have a tech guy solidifying my fundamental view that NG is going up and with the oil DEJ already has and the NGL's coming ,it gives more reasons why this stock, this year, might break even 2 dollars and beyond.