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lentinman

07/16/05 4:31 AM

#9820 RE: FinancialAdvisor #9819

FA:

I think you are WAYYY overreacting. Both of those indexes were at 0 or close many times - including as recently as the middle of May and the markets are all UP since then. It likely means a short term correction, but nothing else.

Len
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otraque

07/16/05 12:25 PM

#9827 RE: FinancialAdvisor #9819

i have carrying 6k shares, 4k at 21.17 and 2k at a painful 25.15(and angry with self i did not dump on run to near 1400--was plain stupid) for c/b 22.5.( do not trade VNX as a daytrader--i stress this so one will understand i have no interest if VNX were to rise Monday))
I am ready to add more BUT the TA of NDX has a lot of room for a major blow-off rally. i have no distinctive major oversold signal on NDX, if earnings don't disappoint it can blow to 1635 with ease and VNX will be selling at about 19( and i perhaps buy then for a correction and dump worse position on a correction .)
The fact that the Bear/Bull Rydex Funds CFL ratio is now at 00.89 (just above the 00.88 that it was before rally started) absolutely NO capitulation by Bears playing Rydex bear/bull funds thus far.
I do not use RYVNX non- moneyflow charts for buy/sell as they as TA RYVNX charts are OVER-RULED by NDX charts.
CTL for Venture Fund was +36.4million and CFL for Velocity fund was -36.9 million, this was a major shift.
Here is CFL for past 6 trading days.
Velocity 100 RYVYX -36.9 +14.2 -4.8 +10.0 +46.0 +0.6
Venture 100 RYVNX +36.4 -0.6 -5.3 -15.5
-12.2 -11.7
Simply go backwards to see how the last 6 trading days went, for instance the +46.00 million om VYX was on Monday, 7/11.
As already have 4k shares at 21.17 there is no reason for me to do anything (that 4k position is 8 months old by the way , i say that so one can understand my time frame:)
My target, if all goes right is to carry a 10k to 15k share in VNX at c/b BELOW 20--the lower the better.


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Gizmo

07/16/05 7:21 PM

#9832 RE: FinancialAdvisor #9819

I did buy when Ndx was at 1570 Fri. Thats alot of rally on negative money flow. Notice how the index rose but CMF and 5,3 stochs are hooked down? Not shown but a div. on RSI 14. I'm looking for a 3-5% correction here and considering keeping some as a core position since I think we retest the bear market lows 1-2 years out.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$NDX,uu[h,a]dacayyay[p][vc60][iLc20!Lh5,3]&pref=G

From a few days back. Negative Divergence on NAA50r
http://www.ttrader.com/mycharts/display.php?p=35244&u=gizmo&a=Gizmo's%20Charts&id=1154
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PAST

07/17/05 5:56 PM

#9834 RE: FinancialAdvisor #9819

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