Your opening weekend number seems pretty realistic if you ask me. According to one of the recent press releases, AFIL is opening in 30 markets. If we assume an average of two theaters per market (complete speculation on my part), then we are looking at 60 theaters. I would consider a "good" gross to be $5,000+ per theater (Hollywood Trade Publications, such as boxofficemojo.com, would not be impressed with that, but I would). If it plays in 60 theaters, and makes $5,000 per theater we would be looking at a gross of $300,000.