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Replies to #12598 on Biotech Values
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EZ2

06/27/05 11:42 AM

#12599 RE: bladerunner1717 #12598

I'm commentLESS.............I thought

SPA

was the 'quality' of suncare/sunscreen content

and/or

a place my wife always asks me for a GIFT CERT.


LOL !!!!!!!!!!


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rstor1

06/27/05 12:10 PM

#12600 RE: bladerunner1717 #12598

GENR - SPA

They did not disclose very much. Also, even if all goes OK, you are looking at commercialization no sooner than 1H09. That's a ways down the road. I'd bet the stock trades down over the next couple of days as it sinks in.

Regards,
Bob
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DewDiligence

06/27/05 3:50 PM

#12607 RE: bladerunner1717 #12598

Re: GENR SPA

The SPA does not mention the number of patients because the number is supposedly dependent on how well Evizon performs in the phase-2 “209” study. I.e., the better Evizon performs relative to placebo in the “209” study, the fewer patients will be needed in the phase-3 trials to reach a given level of statistical significance.

That’s the theory, anyhow. This is the first time I’ve seen an SPA with a variable number of patients.

How many patients are likely to be needed in phase-3? Here’s what I posted about this in January (#msg-5183359):

>>
In phase 3, Macugen was tested on approximately 900 patients for two years. For Squalamine, I think the FDA will ask for 1,200 patients for two years (probably in dual trials with 600 Squalamine patients each).

If the above is correct, counting control arms the total number of patients to be enrolled is 1,500-1,800
depending on whether the randomization is 4:1, 3:1, or 2:1.
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