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08/05/11 3:04 AM

#124538 RE: DewDiligence #124535

SQNM timelines unchanged per last nights CC , not stellar cc, but no bad news either.

Still expect call option action and maybe put selling prior to short actually covering physical shares.

Eta for T21 test still late 2011/early 2012
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conix

08/05/11 9:07 AM

#124546 RE: DewDiligence #124535

DNDN article

Buying Dendreon on Thursday's Plunge


I'm a long term bear, but there's no double-dip on the horizon, just endless slog. Thus, I'm buying Dendreon (DNDN) here.

As per Dendreon (DNDN), the stock that lost 65% of it's value yesterday based on lower earnings guidance, I think it was well overdue. It had a $6B market cap based on no current earnings and one drug, Provenge, which was shown to increase the longevity of prostate cancer victims by 4.1 months. The price tag is a staggering $93k, which supposedly was going to be paid by US taxpayers, as by law Medicare does not take into account a drug's cost when considering if it will pay for it (which they said they would).

I think we are broke enough as a country to tell men if they don't have and want to spend the $93k, you're just going to die a little sooner. The FDA study shows people living 25 rather than 21 months, which I don't think is a good buy. I would bet most people would rather leave their family $93k more than live in agony another 4 months, but in our crazy health care market no one pays for anything out-of-pocket, so they feel insulted to actually have to make the decision.

If we really just wanted to prioritize life enhancing dollars, we could increase it more than 4 months by simply giving everyone access to aerobics classes and a dietitian, which would cost much less.

Disclosure: Long DNDN