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tryoty

07/13/11 7:07 PM

#243202 RE: kownski #243201

Clarification on Keeney''s words...

IMO, below is what he meant...

"Another consideration that some fail to recognize is that ERHC has special incentive – currently valued in the tens of millions of dollars (the carried cost of the 5 wells drilled) and potentially many times higher than that in the future (more drilling and development costs)"
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Strategyone

07/13/11 7:11 PM

#243204 RE: kownski #243201

Quick comment - I read the "worth 10's of millions of dollars" to be referring to the amount of cash ERHE would have had to come up with to pay for their "carried" portion of the drilling so far to date. In addition, the more in the future is referring to the continued "carry" until profit oil. For a non-oil company, this truely is worth a lot (IMHO). To think, if all goes well, and it takes 2, 5 or even 10 more years to bring a commercial discovery into full production, the interest alone of the ERHE proportional investment could be worth ten's of millions and more. (also remember that profit oil begins at first production not when a field is brought on to full production)

The carry strategy has been successfully negotiated in blocks 2 - 4. I suspect they will continue with that kind of strategy (giving up a portion of their rights) with other blocks (EEZ & now CHAD) until there is a foreseable cash flow from one of their properties.

Just my take.
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Al4343

07/13/11 8:00 PM

#243206 RE: kownski #243201

John, I rely on the handful of posters that I have come to trust on this board. As a lay person that has witnessed the power and ruthlessness of "big oil" majors, I am now in a holding pattern on ERHE. Can't sell and can't bring myself to buy.

Your theory seems to hold water as it doesn't make sense the way it is being spoon fed to us. If you and the others I trust are correct I will certainly remember it. Should we be wrong I will not likely EVER invest in an oil junior in foreiign waters as I will then be 0-2. In the meantime we ait....

Al
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kobiashi2000

07/13/11 9:36 PM

#243218 RE: kownski #243201

I think they'll be drilling again, and the next round we'll find out if there is oil and condensate, I think SNP and Total believe there is.