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Sherlock356

12/30/02 6:26 PM

#60128 RE: ajtj99 #60126

Anyone want to elaborate on this data? (reposted)

"Right now, the S&P 500 earnings yield is 3-times the short term treasury yield, which is the highest going back 20 years. [This means stocks are cheap relative to bonds.]

At the market bottom in 1982, this ratio peaked at 1.50--so we are twice as undervalued relative to bonds as in 1982.

Important market tops such as 1987 yielded ratios of .70, while in 2000 it scrunched down to .50 before the bear market took over." Are stocks far cheaper relative to bonds than at any time in recent history?

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michael03332002

12/30/02 6:46 PM

#60132 RE: ajtj99 #60126

Do you think we will gap down in the morning and head on down to make the low early, then move back up for a close over the days low, or do you feel the low will be made at closing???

M