U.S., Russian, Chinese interests may clash in Kyrgyzstan 13:52
Getting real about this, China has maybe as many as 3.5 million troops and semi-military a few feet away from Kyrgyzstan.
About 1 million Chinese troops are stationed in Xinjiang. #msg-5871359
In addition to the 1 million troops China is considering adding strengthen 2.5 million semi-military in Xinjiang. #msg-4248304
I believe there is some truth to the second text from Kavkaz-Center regarding the influx of Chinese in Kyrgyzstan albeit China didn’t help Akaev stay in office. It is logical that the Chinese are already in Kyrgyzstan but not in an official manner given that Kyrgyzstan is located on the border of their troublesome Xinjiang province.
-Am
U.S., Russian, Chinese interests may clash in Kyrgyzstan 13:52
MOSCOW, June 1 (RIA Novosti) - China's Huaxia Shibao newspaper published a sensational report yesterday, saying China intended to send troops to Kyrgyzstan, prompting experts to say U.S., Russian, and Chinese interests may clash in the Central Asian region, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, a daily, reported.
Chinese authorities are looking into the possibility of meeting the request from Kyrgyzstan's acting President Kurmanbek Bakiyev to send Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) (Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Belarus, and Armenia) troops to be led by Russia and contingents of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) that comprises Russia, China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, to the republic,
the Chinese newspaper quoted Liu Jiancha, an official foreign ministry spokesman, as saying. Jiancha said China had no experience in deploying military bases abroad and therefore had to look into the request.
Tuesday, the Chinese Foreign Ministry refuted reports that China was considering sending troops to the Central Asian republic. However, experts said the reports had not accidentally appeared. They predict the Central Asian states within the CIS that group former Soviet republics could become a conflict zone between the super powers given Russia and the United States each already have a base in Kyrgyzstan, while the Chinese army is located close to the republic's borders and could be quickly redeployed there.
Andrew Kuchins, the Director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, said Kyrgyzstan is unlikely to ask China for troops. The Kyrgyz authorities will most likely ask Russia to boost its military presence in the republic to be able to counter a possible security threat. Russia has developed much closer relations with Kyrgyzstan than China or the United States have.
Kuchins said China might start to compete with the U.S. and Russia for influence in Central Asia. The three countries, however, share concerns about possible instability in Central Asia and radical Islamic groups merging with terrorists, something that is likely to persist in the future. This will ease, although not end, their rivalry in the region.
President of Kyrgyzstan sold himself out to the Chinese?
Central Asia is full of rumors. They say that President of Kyrgyzstan Askar Akaev signed a secret deal with China, and now neither the US nor Russia can get him replaced for a man that they would want. And such attempts have already been made. It happened more than once. Both Washington and Moscow, for example, are insisting that the Kyrgyz President should not run at the elections for the fourth time.
Back in the month of April during a private conversation the US Ambassador to Kyrgyzstan Steven Young once again reminded Akaev about the need to leave the post of the head of the state and provide fair elections in the country. They say that Akaev answered with disappointment:
«You Americans are so strange, you are making me choose between stability and democracy!»
Before the summit in Tashkent and Astana Vladimir Putin called Kyrgyz President to the Kremlin and directly told him about the need to transfer the power to one promising (for Russia) Kyrgyz politician, whom Askar Akaev cannot stand. Eyewitnesses reported that Askaev was very nervous during that conversation.
The opposition claims that after all of these proposals made by Moscow and Washington, President of Kyrgyzstan started relying on China once and for all. Presumably, Beijing offered Akaev good protection in exchange for accepting 100,000 Chinese in Kyrgyzstan. China keeps its promises. Akaev keeps his promises too.
No one knows for sure how true this information is. But some facts, which are being discussed in Central Asian oppositional press are making us think about it.
For example, there was a time when Akaev appointed diplomat Muratbek Imanaliev as Foreign Minister. Allegedly, he has been successfully working for the Chinese and has been their agent for quite a while. He is the one who gave China 125,000 hectares of the most valuable Kyrgyz land with glaciers full of fresh water and with a uniquely designed border outpost, which allows one soldier to have many thousand of enemy troops at gunpoint and under fire.
Today the Kyrgyz leader is planning to rent pieces of land (about 500 to 1,000 hectares each) all across Kyrgyzstan’s territories to the Chinese for 99 years for all sorts of business projects. In Akaev’s opinion, Chinese farmers may become the future motive force of the country’s agrarian sector.
The opposition claims that the Chinese are planning to introduce their internal regime in the rented enclaves, set up passport control at the entrances and let the people living there have as many children as their hearts and their bodies desire (contrary to the Chinese birth policies).
According to the mutual agreement between Akaev and China, these rented zones will become loopholes for the Chinese to penetrate into all other territories of Kyrgyzstan. Officially China already rented 800 hectares on the southern shore of Issyk Kul Lake (some reports say they were allotted about 1,200 hectares).
Local people are not allowed in there. Chinese patrol is guarding this section and checkpoints are now being set up. Not too long ago the Chinese brutally beat a 22-year-old local resident Nurmat A., who attempted to graze his cattle on the land rented by the Chinese. The parents, who started a scandal, were intimidated by the police and were paid a little compensation.
In the spring of 2000 in Osha Province, Kyrgyzstan, agents of Uzbek secret services, freely operating on Kyrgyzstan’s soil, abducted someone named Bakhtiar K., ethnic Uigur, and brought him out of the country. Bakhtiar K. was suspected in cooperating with Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU). During the interrogations, which involved severe tortures, Uzbek agents found out that Bakhtiar K. was really working for Chinese intelligence services and his assignment was to collect information about anti-Chinese activities among underground Muslim organizations operating in Southern Kyrgyzstan.
Bakhtiar K. also said that within the next few years the Chinese authorities are going to send about 100,000 Chinese merchants and peasants, and his duties included collecting information about most suitable areas for their future settlements. When the proper letter reached Uzbek dictator Islam Karimov, he immediately convened an emergency meeting, where a decision was made to dispatch additional troops to be permanently stationed in the Fergana Valley, as far as the Kyrgyz border. This is the reason why Uzbekistan’s authorities are now reinforcing and moving Uzbek frontier posts even into the territory of Kyrgyzstan. The process of defusing the mines in some border areas is now being protracted and so is the solution of the problem of water and power supply.
The opposition claims that Akaev needs Chinese immigrants very badly. They will allow him to retain his power and they will be paying their taxes on time and fulfilling orders worth of many millions without asking any unnecessary questions.
Beijing in turn is ready to give Akaev any support as far as trying to convince the US and Russia to give the chance to the first Kyrgyz President to quietly run the country until 2011. China is now growing and it has its own pressure factors to put on Russia and America.
Chinese leadership promised Akayev to make up for the losses from the reduction of foreign financial aid, which depends on the moods in Washington. -- Huge profits will be made from the transits on the Kyrgyz-Chinese railroad, which China will start building in 2005.
The opposition claims that all Akaev’s actions are aimed at retaining his personal power and this is exactly why he allied himself with China. But the logic of the opposition is not too clear: why should Akaev not pick the Chinese protection the same way other Central Asian countries have chosen the protection of Russia or the US? Why would the Chinese be any worse than, say, Americans, who are protecting murderer and maniac Islam Karimov (president of Uzbekistan), or Russians, who are supporting the notorious drug trafficker and mobster Imomali Rahmonov (leader of Tajikistan)?
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