The fat lady hasn't sung yet, Laird. As I said, I took a fair amount off the table at NDX 1500 at the very top of the last short term top. I started scaling back in a few days ago and am 100% long again now. I haven't been the one who has been crowing about being right. I've just been defending myself. You have been crowing, though. ;) But, heck..I will mention once again that I got out of the market in January of 2000 and went 100% back in during March of 2003 (and have been long since). Can you say that, my man?
Occasionally, I do a little short term trading against the predominant trend like when I went short with some of my money at NDX 1500 (actually, what I did was took a fair amount off the table). Now, I'm back 100% long again.
If we aren't considerably higher a couple of months from now...(and I'll even say to new highs on the S&P) if we aren't very near an intermediate bottom right now...and we in fact are back in our cyclical bear, then you will have been right and I will have been wrong. That may make you feel like a worthwhile person and perhaps momentarily improve your poor self-image, but it won't affect mine. ;) It always amazes me the ones who usually come out crowing and criticizing others the most loudly are usually the ones who end up being wrong. Doesn't matter to me one way or the other. I do fine.
We don't know who is "right" yet for the intermediate term. The S&P has a pullback of about 7.5% off it's highs after a runup of 55% from the lows. So, you can get excited about that, I guess. That will probably help the self-image.
I will save your post, though, and play it back for you if we do make new highs. You have such a need to be right. Perhaps you need to examine that in your own life. I bet it comes up in other areas. Am I right? ;) Good luck to you , my man.
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