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MACDad

04/04/05 1:10 AM

#8452 RE: david_3011 #8451

David Nice Strategy play for ELN - since your not going to play it - let's just make that a "dummy" paper trade for the board keep an eye on it for the next month.
MAC

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ljk

04/04/05 4:28 AM

#8454 RE: david_3011 #8451

The thing about the straddle is that you're assuming a fairly neutral opinion on direction and you're also assuming pretty high volatility. Basically in a month and a half you can make $12K, more than double your investment, but that requires the stock go to zero (not likely) or to $10. The stock triples and you make the more than double, in that month and a half. Or the stock goes down 100% to make that same money.

If you're feeling positive on the stock, however, which I think you said you were, yesterday, a calendar spread might make more sense. For example, say you go long July and go short May at the same strike, with more calls than puts. That would be a bullish position, but it would be hedged. To me that makes more sense than the straddle.

Thoughts?
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blasher

04/04/05 8:34 AM

#8459 RE: david_3011 #8451

David, do you expect such a huge move in ELN to make this strategy work ??
I would lean towards using the 2.50 strike options myself and be in-the-money on the call instead of the put .. since that is the direction I would think the stock would go.
But, like you say, JMHO.
I guess you think there is more weakness in the stock.