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JunkStockLady

01/17/11 3:18 PM

#32719 RE: stervc #32713

Wow that is some detailed analysis Stervc!!! Excellent. As for for RS, I don't think anyone has shown that any MMMG stock went through a RS. So yes, I trust there will be no RS for NWTT either. Besides, there has been mention of a share buy back program. One fine day, NWTT will announce they have done a share buy back! All I see with NWTT is POSITIVE NEWS!!!!! Besides, if and when the Silver merger is done....imagine the value it will add to NWTT!!! NWTT seems to be headed in the right direction for a high PPS someday! We will have to wait and see what unfolds here. GLTA!!
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stark12

01/17/11 3:47 PM

#32730 RE: stervc #32713

Thank you for this thoughtful analysis. I think there are at least 3 other major considerations to keep in mind. The analysis is predicated on actually removing the projected gold reserves. It may be technically not feasible to mine the known reserves; the actual amount of recoverable gold is unknown. We do not know how gold prices will fluctuate over the next 10 years. Finally, the other part of NWTT--Bermal, and possible parts--silver mine, lighting , paint all have potential value which could effect pps.

Given these variables, which represent unknowns, it is difficult to determine a valuation. I do appreciate the effort you have undertaken and your objectivity. Board mark for you. I hope you are correct. GLTA
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rookiecrd1

01/17/11 3:50 PM

#32733 RE: stervc #32713

Your analysis doesn't make any sense.

You are basing this off of the gold they have under ground, and then multiplying that number by a PE ratio. That's not how you value a gold company. The $1,960,000,000 will not be escavated in the coming year. If they do have that kind of gold, it will likely be over a span of 10-15 years in itself before they can get most of it out.

You don't value a gold company by multiplying the reserves by a PE ratio unless you are figuring each and every year they will suddenly find and realize that amount of gold which is not the case. A PE ratio is multiplied by the earnings per share in a given year to equal a share price.

NWTT will rise tomorrow, likely quite a bit, but some of these evaluations I am seeing make no sense fundamentally. A $3.12 PPS would be a Market cap of over $15,000,000,000. Considering the gold which they claim to be underground is only worth about 1/8th of that, there is no way a $3 PPS will come anytime soon.
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Doctorday

01/17/11 5:34 PM

#32774 RE: stervc #32713

Monster DD! As soon as I saw that you had posted something I knew that I would be impressed. NWTT is certainly going places and those places will equate to a massive move in pps IMO. A fresh member mark for you sir :-)
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MaxShockeR

01/17/11 6:18 PM

#32801 RE: stervc #32713

Always appreciate your impressive DD

Love those valuations ... :)

thanks Stervc

GLTA
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pennystockingz

01/17/11 6:27 PM

#32809 RE: stervc #32713

Superb DD stervc! Tomorrow is going to be RIDICULOUS!!!
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2hars

01/17/11 7:43 PM

#32855 RE: stervc #32713

Excellent Break Down...Saddle Up The Monster...!!!
JMO..
2hars
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megan1o

01/17/11 8:27 PM

#32873 RE: stervc #32713

stervc

This is an outstanding post for NWTT's Fundamental Valuation$$ Consideration. I hope everyone gets a chance to read it more then once.

Thank you.
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patchman

01/17/11 8:39 PM

#32881 RE: stervc #32713

I was wondering, in this multi-year valuation you have created is there any considerations towards cost of doing business until profitability takes place - such as dilution? As for P/E ratio's I would venture to say you are high since this is presently a non-profitable company.

finally, will gold prices change over time? Your valuation does not look at market trends on gold.

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Jim37

01/17/11 8:59 PM

#32892 RE: stervc #32713

1.4 moz may turn out to be low, but time will tell.
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mquattrini

01/17/11 10:28 PM

#32942 RE: stervc #32713

This is a very interesting point of view.
with a positive BUY recommendation from barchart.com about NWTT and this truly impressive financial demonstration, I have put a BUY order for the opening tomorrow... not much, but just $100 worth of shares.
If these calculations appear exact, using the most conservative option, my $100 could become $24,000! that is a 240 fold profit or 24,000%... Absolutely crazy. Even if it doesn't reach this highs, I don't loose much LOL
The most optimistic option... well I rather not think about it (mmmmhhh... 200K shares at $3.12 =....$624,000... yeah man, stop dreaming LOL)
I might never get any shares anyway as I won't chase!
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ximon

01/18/11 9:59 AM

#33313 RE: stervc #32713

Great Evaluation Sterling!! Thanks xi
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wisperingwind

01/18/11 12:01 PM

#33498 RE: stervc #32713

Wow Sterling,

I am really impressed with your DD and learned a lot from it. The price of gold has dropped to $1300 an ounce but that still leaves your estimate in the ballpark.

I look at the level2 pricing by the MM's and all I see is them trying to drive the price down and play with it as they do with all of the stocksbut, I don't think that they can do much when the price is set by the valuation of an assayer or mining engineer.

The big question in my mind is when do they set the valuation on the assests in order to establish a stock price? I have done some mining studies and helped on prospecting ventures and the value was normally set by drilling or trenching samples and confirmed by the assayer or mining engineer's report of analysis. The formal report was the vehicle to set the value. One cannot just say they have 1.4 million oz of gold, they have to prove it.

In the case of NWTT, that's been done. So why the low stock valuation? We should be looking at a much higher stock price right now. IMHO

Tom Naylor
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Slojab

11/15/12 10:50 PM

#43946 RE: stervc #32713

Is NWTT still on course to hit $3.12, stervc?