News Focus
News Focus
icon url

arilau

03/25/05 12:46 PM

#374016 RE: marketmaven #374015

I figured so from the "nature" of your post.
Can you elaborate a bit?....thanks.

p.s
Shorted GM at 29.40 and bought 27.5 Jun puts.......any thoughts?
icon url

Joe Stocks

03/25/05 1:08 PM

#374022 RE: marketmaven #374015

MM, Probably no one here watches the Program Trading numbers closer than I do. Last week's numbers had more to do with the S&P rebalancing of going to market cap of float than some 'signal' that now is the time to 'sell'. Here is a copy of the report.
http://www.nyse.com/pdfs/pt32405.pdf

What is interesting is that the 71.4% number represents a daily avergae of all shares traded on the NYSE. We know that most program trades are heavily weighted towards S&P500 stocks. A 70% reading means that 80 to 85% of all S&P500 component shares traded were in program trades.

The numnber reported next week I am sure will be back down in the 55% range. Don't get me wrong, I think these levels of program trading are absurd. However, I don't think they send a message to 'buy' or 'sell'. In fact, the program traders do better with market that is in a trading range. It's easier for them to manipulate pricing and take money from both sides.
icon url

shack

03/25/05 1:48 PM

#374030 RE: marketmaven #374015

There is absolutely nothing on which to base that assetion from what I can see.

Not that I don't personally think we may be heading lower, but certainly not based on that.