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jbog

12/09/10 12:44 PM

#110559 RE: dewophile #110557

Novartis' Sandoz Unit Working On Copy Of Roche Drug - Source

Published December 09, 2010 | Dow Jones Newswires

ZURICH -(Dow Jones)- Novartis AG's (NVS) generics unit Sandoz is close to starting mid-stage patient trials for its copy of Roche Holding AG's (ROG.VX) cancer and rheumatoid arthritis drug Rituxan, which is also known as Mabthera, a person familiar with the company told Dow Jones Newswires.

Spokespeople for Novartis and Sandoz declined to comment.

Jeff George, head of Sandoz, recently told Dow Jones Newswires in an interview the company has around 8 to 10 molecules in its biosimilars pipeline, including monoclonal antibodies. But George declined to say which of the currently patent-protected complex biological drugs Sandoz is trying to copy.

Generic companies such as Sandoz are understood to attack the market for complex biotech drugs, known as biosimilars, as many of these expensive and profitable drugs are expected to lose patent protection.

Sandoz's competitor Teva Pharmaceuticals Industries Ltd. (TEVA, TEVA.TV), which has linked up with Swiss biochemicals producer Lonza Group AG (LONN.VX), earlier this year said it has begun testing of Rituxan, which is also sold by Biogen Idec Inc (BIIB).

"Sandoz has done research on Rituxan and has already done phase I clinical trials," the person, who declined to be named, told Dow Jones Newswires. "The company is expected to soon start phase II trials," the person added.

Rituxan, which had sales of around 6 billion Swiss francs in 2009, is scheduled to lose patent protection in some markets in 2014.

The market for biotech generics is set to become red hot. According to Datamonitor, sales could reach more than $2 billion by 2014. By 2020, the market could grow "well over $20 billion", according to estimates provided by Sandoz.

According to Michael Frizberg, vice president of Lonza Generics, the market potential is huge given that many complex biological cancer drugs--such as Roche's Avastin, Herceptin or Merck KGaA's (MRK.XE) Erbitux--have extremely high prices.

The high price prevents many patients receiving reimbursement and thus using these drugs, Frizberg said, adding that some 84% of people who may stand to benefit from Roche's Avastin, for example, remain untreated due to the high price.

Many analysts remain cautious about the nascent biosimilar market's potential outlook, however, given that costs to research and develop a complex biological drug can run as high as $200 million.

They also say it's unclear whether physicians and patients will embrace biosimilar drugs, given that the complexity of producing such medicines could raise substantial safety issues.

European drug regulators recently drafted guidelines for the biosimilar market, asking for similarly rigid research and development procedures as that for the production of a novel drug. In contrast, copycat versions of chemical drugs, simply known as generics, are much cheaper to research and develop.

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RockRat

12/09/10 1:44 PM

#110562 RE: dewophile #110557

First, of all, we can remember that Momenta and Sandoz are already developing some unspecified FoBs (did Sandoz' alleged Rituxan program come from Momenta?). So they are not going to be left behind. How all in do you go on your own with out knowing what the FDA might want. As I have suggested and as Peter spells out, if there is not a pathway given to full substitutability, cost goes up and revenue down. This is distinct from, though related to, the need for a trial. We don't have clarity from the FDA on this issue yet (if I missed something clear, please point me to a link and I'll shut up). Seems to me to be every bit as risky as taking 118 forward. Methinks that is why we have seen no deals.

>>The company plans to use proceeds from the stock
offering to fund the next programs within its pipeline,
Richard Shea, the company’s senior vice president and chief
financial officer, told BioWorld Today.
“We’re making investments in follow-on biologics,” he
said. “We believe that will be a very important area for us
over the next few years.” <<

While Shea specifically mentions FoBs here, the quote does not rule out taking 118 forward into 2B. I think it was actually rkrw who most recently suggested prospective partners might be more willing to deal with 2B results in hand. But the concept has been bounced around ever since m-enox approval.

In the end, I don't really care which they do first, as long as some deal gets done and progress is being made.

Regards, RockRat
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DewDiligence

12/09/10 2:00 PM

#110564 RE: dewophile #110557

…if mnta states very specifically they have [M118] partner(s) in waiting pending a successful 2b in a specific trial setting. the most bullish scenario would be to go straight to a registrational trial with a partner, and needing the cash up front to secure their share of trial cost (i may be in fantasy land here)

I’d like to be able to agree with you, but I don’t think your scenario has any chance whatsoever of happening. Rick Shea’s not mentioning M118 by name in the passage I quoted from BioWorld Today is like the dog that didn’t bark in the whodunit.

The M118 program is now officially on life support. If no new trial is started in the next six months, I will update the status to dead.