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dickmilde

12/05/10 9:19 PM

#119082 RE: StephanieVanbryce #119075

KRUGMAN... The master of confusion...

Or perhaps more clearly stated the master of confused!

Based on his text and associated chart he would have you believe that there is no inflation... Much as in this item:

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=56529504

So now he is making a case that "core inflation" wouldn't be much different if you left out "Owner's equivalent rent". The obvious fallacy is of course that "Owner's equivalent rent" is a concept as flawed as is "core inflation". So taking two absurd "statistics" and working up a new result is well... also yet another absurd result.

So what we have here is a chart that shows that prices excluding food and energy and owner's equivalent rent are equally a non-event in the economy.

Never mind that the well known housing bust has clipped housing values by 25 to 35% nationally. ( About $3 Trillion )

He goes on to say: "...the same downward trend is there if you purge housing from the core index:" The really dumb part of this is of course that it's not housing that is striped from the index... It's what John Q Public thinks that he can get for rent right in the middle of a housing bust!

Krugman should stick to opinion blogging rather than his feeble attempts at explaining economics. Also, anyone reading his crap would be well advised to turn to more credible sources for their information on the status or direction of the economy... Krugman clearly doesn't know what he is writing about!
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StephanieVanbryce

12/05/10 10:35 PM

#119089 RE: StephanieVanbryce #119075

Current Inflation Rates: 2000-2010

The chart, graph and table of inflation rates displays annual rates from 2000-2010. Rates of inflation are calculated using the Current Consumer Price Index published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). For 2010, the most recent monthly data (12-month based) is used in the charts and graphs.

http://www.usinflationcalculator.com/inflation/current-inflation-rates/
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StephanieVanbryce

12/17/10 3:33 PM

#120844 RE: StephanieVanbryce #119075

When Will The Fed Tighten?



According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta investors now expect the Fed to start raising rates next summer. But why?

Yes, the latest news suggests improving growth prospects. But we are very deep in the hole, and it would take a lot of growth to get us to anything like full employment. Put it this way: suppose that you assume that the slump has raised the NAIRU to something like 6 percent (which I don’t believe); even so, it would take about five years of growth at 4 percent to get us down to that level.

And if you apply any kind of simple Taylor rule to even the optimistic forecasts I’m seeing, it implies zero rates through to the end of 2012 and beyond. [ http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/08/22/the-taylor-rule-and-the-bond-bubble-wonkish/ ]

Are markets pricing in the idea that Ron Paul will bully the Fed into tight money? Or are they just not thinking it through?

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/12/17/when-will-the-fed-tighten/