There is no assurance that this time we will follow the same script as last year (and indeed last year I became bearish prematurely early in December expecting a much sharper decline than we got). All I can do is follow my indicators, and when proven wrong, change course, as I did on 10/16 (#msg-540944) some 10 Naz points above my prior bear "call". Flexibility and admission of errors keeps one in the game, being stubborn and telling the Mr. Market he is wrong, leads to financial losses....