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Public Heel

02/13/05 8:44 PM

#358273 RE: basserdan #358271

I'm not worried about the intrinsic value of Gold because I know the price will never get anywhere near there. Gold will always have currency value.

My point is that the intrinsic value will also never serve as support for the market price, because they will always be too far apart. Thus, the price of gold will always be determined either by the value of the $US relative to other currencies, even if all currencies are simultaneously losing value, or (in our wildest dreams), it will be determined by "sentiment" (i.e. panic), like back in 1979.

BTW, I posted that I'd changed in one third of my huge GLD position for VGPMX. Actually, it ended up being more like half. I don't know the mix of metals that VGPMX holds, but gold must not be a very large percentage, because VGPMX hasn't moved in close step with the POG. I know that VGPMX's charter allows it to get into uranium (and that they have a sizable position), and I'm looking for them to take advantage of a super bull market over the next decade or so...


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hightecheast

02/13/05 8:46 PM

#358274 RE: basserdan #358271

Dan ... have you ever read "The Power of Gold" by Peter L Bernstein, published in 2000 by Wiley & Sons ... I am just about to start it.

... by the way, and not that you care [g], but I have the DJIA below 9,600 by April 9, 2005 ... watch out banks.

Ken Wilson
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Patrick Bateman

02/13/05 10:54 PM

#358288 RE: basserdan #358271

<<I can't think of anything that has had value for as long as gold has.... Can you? >>

How about "integrity" Dan? Yes...how about "integrity"?
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lee kramer

02/14/05 1:00 AM

#358301 RE: basserdan #358271

Hi basserdan: There is one thing that has had value far longer than gold; Stoby's boat.