Constantine, Re: It seems that the P4 will have scaled 50% going from .18 to .13. 50% for the Athlon is about 2.25 Ghz and it seems that we'll see those before year end.
We'll see. So far, AMD has only been able to introduce limited volumes at 2.0GHz, which have sold out quickly, and new ETA shows late October for a part that should have been available in August. 2.13GHz parts are completely MIA from the channel, and from OEMs.
At .18u, AMD was able to get decent volumes at 1.73GHz. 50% on top of that would yield 2.6GHz, which is well beyond their current capability. Maybe the Barton core will be different, but there is no news on that part outside of the quarter delay.
From Intel's side, it seems that Northwood may scale beyond 50%. At .18u, Willamette had a lot of problems binning at 2.0GHz. Even 1.9GHz volumes were scarce, but so far, Northwood seems to have ramped to decent volume at 2.8GHz, which is a 55% improvement from the last chip that Intel binned well using the Willamette core (1.8GHz). That suggests that Northwood should at least be able to bin out limited volumes of 3.2GHz parts, and those on a Springdale dual channel DDR333 platform should deliver scores that would exceed any part AMD is likely to launch on the K7 platform.
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