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Replies to #99361 on Biotech Values
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alertmeipp

07/23/10 11:31 AM

#99363 RE: DewDiligence #99361

Dew, man, this news is huge...
anything under 30$ after this approval is cheap.
Copaxone is even bigger.
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hptaxis

07/23/10 11:43 AM

#99374 RE: DewDiligence #99361

What are Copaxone sales? Tia
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flatlander_60048

07/23/10 2:33 PM

#99470 RE: DewDiligence #99361

While I agree with your rationale for Teva being down, shouldn't NVS get at least a small pop by the same rationale. Not only do they share 50% of generic Lovenox their stake in generic copaxone looks a lot more viable today. Assuming FTY 720 gets approval, their MS franchise would be second to none.

I'm not complaining to much, MNTA became my largest holding today, but it seems like NVS is perpetually destined to be the Rodney Dangerfield of Pharma. I've noticed that Swiss Firms (Take Nestle for example) seem to be subject to a discount. This is interesting since it seems that firms like RIG, TYCO, Noble etc. are moving to Switzerland for preferential tax treatment.

I know you can make a case that NVS is at a premium to US pharma but they are outperforming by a wider margin than the valuation would indicate.

More interesting than the diatribe about NVS is the validation of the MNTA reverse engineering technology. This seems to me to make MNTA the most sought after acquisition and/or teaming partner in biogenerics.

I plan to hold long term.

Good Luck

FL
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rwdm

07/27/10 12:10 PM

#99850 RE: DewDiligence #99361

It seems that the crucial issue for FDA approval of Copaxone is if Momenta is able to show bioequivalence (which is almost impossible according to Teva). I do not see that the FDA will approve Copaxone without this even it has very well characterized their generic Copaxone.
What do you think or may be know?